Bitcoin (BTC)

📊【XWIN TREND INDEX｜2026年7月1日】 Overall Score: 22 / 100 ・80〜100 = Strong Uptrend ・60〜79 = Slightly Up ・40〜59 = Neutral / No Direction ・20〜39 = Slightly Down ・0〜19 = Strong Downtrend 7‑day Moving Average: 21.00 ↓ 14‑day Moving Average: 28.00 ↓ The directional sense is **"Slightly Downtrend"**. The market remains defensive, lacking catalysts for a full rebound. ________________________________________ Market Summary ・BTC remains soft around the $60,000 level. ・U.S. spot BTC ETFs continue to see one of the largest capital outflows on record. ・Institutional demand remains weak. ・Strategy announced a new capital policy, prioritizing the retention of BTC holdings. ・BNY Mellon has launched USDC custodial services. ・BitMine is further expanding its ETH holdings. ・The CLARITY bill’s Senate hearing in mid‑July is the biggest upcoming event. ・High interest rates and a strong dollar are weighing down the crypto market. ________________________________________ On‑Chain & Technical Trend ・Long‑term holders (LTH) continue to accumulate BTC. ・ETF outflows far exceed new demand. ・Open Interest, while low, is rising again. ・Short positions are gradually decreasing. ・Funding Rate remains in a neutral zone. ・MVRV is approaching the bottom range. ・Exchange inflows remain high, leaving short‑term selling pressure. ・The market continues to trade in a range. ________________________________________ Sentiment ・Fear & Greed Index is in the Extreme Fear zone. ・Short‑term holders continue to cut losses. ・Whales keep adding to their positions. ・Retail investor sentiment remains bearish. ・ETF outflows can also be viewed as a contrarian signal. ・Institutions maintain a cautious stance. ・The overall market is approaching a capitulation phase. ・A rebound will require fresh inflows. ________________________________________ U.S. Traditional Market ・U.S. PCE inflation remains elevated. ・Expectations for an Fed rate cut have receded. ・The Dollar Index (DXY) stays high. ・Hedge funds are selling large‑cap tech stocks. ・Profit‑taking is occurring in AI‑related stocks. ・Financial institutions like BNY Mellon are expanding digital‑asset businesses. ・The yen is at historically low levels. ・The macro environment continues to be headwinds for risk assets. ________________________________________ Overall Assessment The market remains in a bearish phase, with ETF outflows, weak institutional demand, and a high‑interest‑rate environment acting as heavy burdens. Meanwhile, accumulation by long‑term holders and whales continues, and on‑chain metrics are gradually nearing the bottom range. In the short term, maintaining a cautious stance while watching for signs of improvement in ETF flows, Open Interest, and sentiment will be the key focus going forward.

【Breaking News⚡】🇺🇸 Vice President JD Vance discloses holding over $250,000 (≈¥4,050,000) in $BTC https://t.co/9Y6QNF5zhg

These guys😅

BITFINEX WHALES AREN'T BACKING DOWN. Despite recent weakness, Bitfinex traders continue increasing their Bitcoin long exposure instead of reducing risk. This creates two possible outcomes: 1: If Bitcoin reclaims key resistance, these positions could help fuel a powerful squeeze higher. 2: If support fails and leveraged longs begin getting liquidated, the move lower could accelerate very quickly. What we look for is a breakout of the price range, this confirms who took control, and that's when we position ourselves

Bitcoin Is Getting Close [The Zone I'm Watching] https://t.co/oCLj210Kkg

NEW: We just opened the Bitcoin Treasuries Digital Credit Survey. The first real stress test for digital credit is happening right now and the market can't agree on what it means. Get your take on the record before it's published in an upcoming report: https://t.co/IXjzDUeRll https://t.co/GVWXO1iPLM

Breaking News⚡ 🇺🇸 U.S. Vice President JD Vance announced holding BTC worth $250,001 (≈¥4.05 million) to $500,000 (≈¥8.10 million). #要人 #仮想通貨 https://t.co/7RLZAIZJXr

I'd rather buy 7.5M Satoshis over watching some guys kick a ball around for 90 minutes