The amount of net new
capital needed to continue Bitcoin’s power law trend ~ t^β grows essentially as the first derivative so ~ t ^ (β-1) or about the 4.7th power of age.
At present age 17.5 that corresponds
to about 30% per annum growth in incremental capital, assuming a consistent multiplier effect.
@ScientificBTC
Bullish Trump Coin BTC 價格歷史 USD
Bullish Trump Coin 社交媒體動態
Bitcoin likely has another parabolic cycle ahead.
Yes, capital efficiency is declining. In 2011, just $2.7B in net capital inflows drove a 55,536% price increase. This cycle, $697B produced a +689% return.
The next parabolic bull cycle likely requires deeper institutional allocation. Bitcoin needs to be a core macro asset, not just a retail-driven ETF trade.
That shift is still early, not invalidated.
If Bitcoin can absorb $1T+ in realized cap, another parabolic bull run remains on the table.
Gold's market cap is currently $27T.
Good analysis but how did you do over 10 years analysis and predicted bottom if your AC only 3 years old on X ?
My 2026 Bull Run prediction:
June → Bear trap
July → Bitcoin breakout
August → Altcoin season
September → New ATH around $200K
October → Bull trap
November → Liquidation cascade
December → Bear market kicks in
Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS.
I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job.
If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.
Late night thoughts #20
Not diversifying out of Bitcoin continues to look like very bad play here for me.
I mean let’s just say Bitcoin ran up a 8x, and you start putting money in other things besides 126k Bitcoin. Let’s use $VTI for example.
That VTI is now up 30% and you can rotate it into Bitcoin 50% off if that’s what you really want.
In hindsight it seems like a great way to build more Bitcoin actually.
Rather than buying at highs.
Is this a W take?
價格預測
什麼時候是購買BTC的好時機?我應該現在買入還是賣出BTC?
Beacon預測
概率價格預測(未來24小時)此預測為實驗性技術產品,僅供參考,不構成投資建議。現實生活中的任何突發事件都可能對交易行為產生重大影響,因此交易者應謹慎決策。
How Many Bitcoins Are There?
How Much Is Bitcoin Today?
What Is Bitcoin Mining?
Bitcoin (BTC) is a digital asset and a payment system invented by Satoshi Nakamoto who published a related paper in 2008 and released it as open-source software in 2009. The system featured as peer-to-peer; users can transact directly without an intermediary. Transactions are verified by network nodes and recorded in a public distributed ledger called the blockchain. The ledger uses bitcoin as its unit of account. The system works without a central repository or single administrator, which has led the U.S. Treasury to categorize bitcoin as a decentralized virtual currency. Bitcoin is often called the first cryptocurrency, although prior systems existed. Bitcoin is more correctly described as the first decentralized digital currency. It is the largest of its kind in terms of total market value by now.
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